Every year teams will try to land a quarterback in the later rounds to groom, but according to obe personnel man in the NFL that does not work. Phil Emery of the Bears did a study to find out something pretty interesting.
“I just did a little study. It’s very interesting,” Emery said, per ESPN.com. “That developmental theory doesn’t hold a whole lot of water.
“There’s entire classes of quarterbacks, since ’06, I went back and looked at from Jay’s on — when people say developmental quarterbacks, OK, so who has gotten developed? There isn’t a single quarterback after the third round since 2006 that has been a long-term starter. So you’re either developing thirds, and most of them have been wiped out of the league. So to get a quality quarterback, you’ve got to draft them high. That 2012 class is a blip on the radar that’s unusual, highly unusual.”
“Most of the starters in this league come from the first and second round,” Emery continued. “So that’s where you need to take a quarterback. So when you talk about quarterback every year, they have to be somebody that you truly believe will beat out the second and third quarterback that you perceive on your roster. And if not, history shows that you shouldn’t make that pick.”
So there you have it Bear fans, if you were hoping to draft a QB late to compete with Jordan Palmer it probably won’t happen. If they draft a QB according to Emery it will be in first three rounds.