NFL Sophomores at Risk: Who Might Fall Short This Season?

In the NFL, rookie seasons can be explosive, but continuing that success into the sophomore year is a challenge many promising players face. In fact, it’s commonly called a “sophomore slump,” something many second-year players have experienced in their careers as they are put under increased scrutiny.

This season, several second-year players could struggle due to changes in team dynamics, increased competition, or simply the inability to replicate their initial performances. Let’s explore five NFL sophomores who might fall short this season.

Jordan Addison: The Vikings’ New Reality

Jordan Addison had a standout rookie year with the Minnesota Vikings, amassing ten receiving touchdowns and proving to be a reliable target. However, the circumstances heading into his second season suggest a potential decline in performance.

● Challenges:

○ Justin Jefferson’s Return: Jefferson missed seven games last season due to a hamstring injury, during which Addison thrived. With Jefferson back, Addison’s target share is expected to decrease significantly.

○ Quarterback Changes: Adjustments in the quarterback position can affect Addison’s chemistry and consistency in receiving passes. The team will likely start with Sam Darnold before passing the torch to rookie J.J. McCarthy.

Addison is not doomed, but surpassing or even matching his rookie totals may not align with the reality of the Vikings’ current roster dynamics.

De’Von Achane: Increased Competition in Miami

De’Von Achane dazzled fans and fantasy football managers in his rookie season, marking himself as one of the most efficient running backs. However, the deck seems stacked against him for an equally successful sophomore year.

● Key Points:

○ Offensive Line Weaknesses: The Miami Dolphins lost starters from their offensive line, and replacements may not provide the same protection and running lanes.

○ Backfield Competition: Achane now faces additional competition from not just Raheem Mostert but also Jaylen Wright, a promising rookie drafted in the fourth round who possesses some of the same explosive traits as Achane.

Achane’s abilities aren’t in question, but the situation around him may limit his ability to duplicate his impressive rookie numbers.

Rashee Rice: Off-Field Issues and a Crowded Receiver Room

Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Rashee Rice faces several obstacles that could hinder his sophomore season performance.

● Factors:

○ Off-Field Issues: Rice’s offseason was marred by personal issues, and he’s likely facing a multi-game suspension, reducing his chances to build early momentum.

○ Enhanced WR Corps: The Chiefs have bolstered their wide receiver lineup with talents like Marquise Brown and Xavier Worthy, potentially diverting targets away from Rice.

With increased competition and off-field distractions, maintaining his impressive rookie stats seems an uphill task for Rice.

Kobie Turner: Stepping Out of Donald’s Shadow

Kobie Turner’s rookie season was marked with impressive performances, including leading all rookies in sacks. However, the departure of Aaron Donald, a legendary defensive lineman, leaves Turner with bigger shoes to fill.

● Considerations:

○ Increased Defensive Focus: Without Donald to attract the attention of opposing offensive lines, Turner is expected to face more double-teams and focused blocking strategies.

○ Team Dynamics: The Rams will look to Turner as a key player on their defensive line, adding pressure and possibly hindering his ability to play freely.

Turner’s potential remains high, but the increased defensive pressure might result in a less productive sophomore season.

Josh Downs: Competition Heats Up in Indianapolis

Josh Downs’ first year with the Indianapolis Colts was both productive and understated. Moving into his second season, he faces stiffer competition for targets. Additionally, he was just diagnosed with a high-ankle sprain and could miss the season opener.

● Highlights:

○ New Additions: The Colts have brought in Adonai Mitchell, a receiver with the potential to claim the WR2 spot due to his size and route-running skills.

○ Run-Heavy Offense: With a healthy Jonathan Taylor, the Colts are expected to rely more on their running game, further reducing Downs’ opportunities.

○ Injury Concerns: Downs is expected to miss 4-6 weeks, meaning he could potentially watch Mitchell pass him on the depth chart by the time he returns.

Downs’ stats may not reflect his talent as the team dynamics shift, making his sophomore season a potential struggle.

Conclusion

Sophomore slumps are not uncommon in the high-stakes world of the NFL. For Jordan Addison, De’Von Achane, Rashee Rice, Kobie Turner, and Josh Downs, external factors such as team changes, competition, and injuries play a significant role in their potential regression. 

While the future remains bright for these players, 2024 might present them with challenges that could hamper their growth. Fans and fantasy football enthusiasts keeping an eye on NFL odds on FanDuel should weigh these factors as they anticipate performances in the upcoming season.