Today I spoke with an NFL scout of an AFC team that told me to expect a run on quarterbacks in the first round. When I asked him about the quarterbacks he had some interesting things to say. First thing he said to me was that only one quarterback was worth a first round pick in his opinion. He went on to rave about Teddy Bridgewater of Louisville, saying
“Teddy has a very good arm, great vision, and understands pocket presence. The other quarterbacks are no where near Teddy’s abilities, but their is such a major need right now for a Savior quarterback teams are going to try their hand.”
I went on to ask him if with the new CBA in place it was ok to take a risk on drafting a quarterback high, and he responded saying “Since the draft pay scale has changed the first round pick is not necessarily a must hit anymore. Teams will take the best player available and sit them and try to develop them.”
I then asked him how many quarterbacks he thought would be drafted in the first round and he replied:
I would expect 4 quarterbacks to be taken in the first round, but if you were to ask me Teddy Bridgewater is a top 10 guy and the others are 2nd to 3rd rounders.
I asked the scout about the other three quarterbacks and he said he would not be surprised to see a team take Johnny Manziel (but he did state he would stay away from him), Blake Bortles and Derek Carr.
I asked him to rate those quarterbacks and put a grade or draft number besides them and he said:
Teddy Bridgewater – Top 10
Derek Carr – Should be Early 2nd but expects him to go in top 10
Johnny Manziel – Said he should be a 3rd round prospect but sees him going in the top 5
Blake Bortles – Said he is very raw, and should be a late round pick but will be taken top 10
I asked him why he thought Johnny Manziel would go “Top 5” and he said the NFL is a “COPY CAT” league. If one team has success with something another team is going to try it. With quarterbacks like Russell Wilson, Colin Kaepernick, and Cam Newton all having success, I would expect a team to take Manziel and hope for the best.
I then asked him if he was a GM and had the Texans pick what he would do?
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“I would try to trade out of the first pick in the draft, because their is better value in the back end of the draft. If I was in charge I would explore the options of trading for both Kirk Cousins and/or Ryan Mallett. If I had to pick a player at one I would select Jadeveon Clowney.”